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第85回プラットフォームセミナー
「Child care costs and stagnating female labor force participation in the US」
1月27日（金） 13:30~14:55
(本郷キャンパス経済学研究科学術交流棟 第１セミナー室)

The female labor force participation rate in the United States leveled off around 1990 and began to decrease in the late 1990s. This paper shows that structural changes in the child care market play a substantial role in influencing the evolution of female labor force participation.
I first provide new estimates of long-term trends in prices and hours of child care using the Survey of Income and Program Participation. Hourly expenditures on child care rose by 32% and hours of daycare used declined by 27%. Then, I build a life-cycle model of married couples that features a menu of child care options to capture important features of reality. The calibrated model predicts that the rise in child care costs leads to a 5% decline in total employment of females, holding all else constant. Finally, this paper provides two hypotheses and their supporting evidence about the causes of rising child care costs: (i) restrictive licensing to home-based child care providers, and (ii) the negative effect of expanded child care subsidies to lower income households on the incentives for those individuals to operate the home-based daycare.


日　時	:	平成29年1月27日（金） 13:30~14:55
場　所	:	東京大学本郷キャンパス経済学研究科学術交流棟 第１セミナー室
講演者	:	So Kubota, PhD candidate, Princeton University
主　催	:	東京大学博士課程教育リーディングプログラム「社会構想マネジメントを先導するグローバルリーダー養成プログラム」（GSDM）
共　催	:	経済学研究科Macroeconomic Seminar